Marin Cilic vs Felix Auger Aliassime Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Marin Cilic's second serve success rate is 46.70%, slightly lower than Felix Auger Aliassime's 48.89%. Could this influence the match outcome? Yes, as second serve performance highly correlates with match predictions.
• In return games, Cilic has claimed 41.83% of his opponent's second serve points, while Aliassime has achieved 45.12%. Does Aliassime's superior return game give him an advantage? It appears so.
• When facing breakpoints, Cilic has saved 58.51%, and Aliassime has rescued 58.57%. They both show similar resilience under pressure.
• Over the past year, Cilic has a match win rate of 58.33%, trailing behind Aliassime's 65.63%. Is this decisive? It highlights Aliassime’s consistent form.
• Regarding surface preference, Cilic excels on Grass with a 73% win rate, contrasting with Aliassime's preference for indoor hard courts at the same success rate.
• Cilic frequently competes on Challenger tours with a dominant 75% win rate, whereas Aliassime contends primarily on the Main tour, boasting a 73.68% win percentage. The level of competition could sway the scales in Aliassime's favor.
• In their direct confrontations, Cilic leads 3-2 in matches and 8-6 in sets against Aliassime. Who holds the edge? This record slightly favors Cilic but is quite balanced.
• A deciding set scenario could favor Aliassime, who has won 67% of such matches recently, compared with Cilic's 58% success rate.
• When facing top-ranked opponents, Aliassime's recent adversaries averaged a higher rank of 60.56 compared to Cilic’s 93.71. Could this demonstrate a higher level of competition readiness for Aliassime? Likely.

Editorial Prediction (October 23, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the recent performances of Marin Cilic and Felix Auger Aliassime, the statistics present a fascinating matchup. While Cilic has a slight historical edge in their direct encounters, Aliassime demonstrates stronger form in return games and overall performance on the main circuit.

The difference in second serve statistics slightly favors Aliassime, suggesting a potential edge in baseline rallies. Furthermore, considering Aliassime’s ability to fight through deciding sets and his recent matches against higher-ranked opponents, he seems well-prepared for high-stakes competition.

Taking into account all factors, especially Aliassime’s consistency and adaptability to diverse opponents, Felix Auger Aliassime is marginally favored to triumph in the upcoming match against Marin Cilic.